Is Civil War a Planned Event - Like Covid?
Is Civil War a Planned Event - Like Covid?
Post 104
"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." — John F. Kennedy
BLUF: Multiple indicators suggest we are at a significant turning point, marked by potential civil unrest and societal upheaval. These signs include cyclical societal shifts, economic pressures, and global preparations for civil discord. Media and government actions further highlight a readiness for potential conflict, suggesting that without peaceful solutions, violent outcomes may become inevitable.
Introduction:
In our current socio-political landscape, several converging narratives point to a potential turning point of unprecedented magnitude. This era is characterized by overlapping phenomena: the prospect of a Fourth Turning, a cyclical period marked by societal upheaval and potential civil conflict; the culmination of a long-term debt cycle and the possible end of a 250-year civilizational epoch; and even a cosmic shift aligning with the axial plane completing a zodiac cycle, historically associated with significant upheavals.
These concepts are not merely theoretical but are increasingly supported by tangible evidence. Mainstream media's predictive programming, alongside Hollywood's "Revelation of the Method," serve as psychological tools to acclimate and desensitize populations to forthcoming scenarios. Meanwhile, government documents such as Canada's "Disruptions on the Horizon," preparing for potential U.S. civil unrest, and insurance policy adaptations for social upheaval underscore preparations for societal fracture. Legislative adjustments further suggest a systemic readiness for profound societal discord, hinting at a looming potential for significant civil unrest and, alarmingly, the specter of civil war.
The push toward civil war rhetoric and preparations for civil unrest are not confined to isolated incidents but are observable across multiple countries in the Western hemisphere. This phenomenon underscores the global nature of an informational operation campaign and aligns with the broader framework of a Fourth Turning event. From legislative changes in European nations anticipating social upheaval to similar trends in South American countries bracing for internal strife, the signs of societal fracture are ubiquitous. This global convergence of destabilizing narratives and preparatory measures reinforces the thesis that we may be on the brink of a transformative period marked by profound societal challenges and potential conflict.
Programming - Recent Headlines:
Mainstream media's role in shaping public perception and behavior extends far beyond mere reporting, as evidenced by its historical entanglement with intelligence agencies like the CIA under Operation Mockingbird. This covert operation, initiated in the Cold War era, aimed to influence and manipulate media narratives to align with government agendas. Consequently, much of what passes as "news" today functions as a sophisticated form of propaganda.
Operation Mockingbird: CIA admits using MSM News to Manipulate the Minds of American citizens (1975)
Through predictive programming and meticulous messaging, media outlets not only inform but also shape public opinion and behavior. This approach, often likened to a form of "spell casting," draws parallels to occult traditions where rituals are used to influence individuals or groups on a subconscious level. Thus, the term "broadcasting" takes on a deeper meaning, reflecting the deliberate dissemination of information designed to mold societal norms and perceptions in alignment with hidden agendas and power structures.
US CIVIL WAR HEADLINES:
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL WAR HEADLINES:
The trend of civil unrest gripping nations globally appears to be part of a meticulously orchestrated strategy tied to globalist Hegelian dialectics. This approach utilizes the principle of "order through chaos," reminiscent of the Freemasonic motto "ordo ab chao" (order out of chaos). The notion suggests that societal upheaval and instability are deliberately fostered to create conditions where predetermined solutions can be implemented under the guise of restoring order. This programming is not incidental but reflects a calculated effort to reshape global dynamics and consolidate power.
Pandemic Tabletop Exercises (Summarized):
Tabletop exercises, designed to simulate real-world scenarios, have frequently preceded significant events, making them potential indicators of future occurrences. For instance, before the 9/11 attacks, various agencies conducted exercises simulating airplane hijackings and terrorist threats, which echoed the tragic events that followed. Similarly, "Operation Dark Winter," a 2001 exercise, simulated a bioterrorism attack using anthrax, foreshadowing the subsequent anthrax mailings. More recently, in October 2019, "Event 201" simulated a global pandemic caused by a novel coronavirus, remarkably similar to the COVID-19 pandemic that emerged just a few months later. Another example includes the NTI Monkey Pox exercise in 2021, which coincidentally preceded an actual outbreak of monkeypox in the same month the following year. These instances underscore the value of tabletop exercises in preparing for and potentially predicting future crises.
Post 67: Pandemic Simulations vs Real-World Events delves into the patterns observed across various pandemic simulations and their unsettling parallels with real-world events. It examines the recurring themes such as novel zoonotic viruses, airborne transmission, government responses like lockdowns and vaccine rollout challenges, misinformation management, economic disruptions, international collaboration, and healthcare system strain. These simulations, ranging from Clade X to Crimson Contagion, Event 201, SPARS 2025, and others, are scrutinized through the lens of conspiracy theories, suggesting coordinated efforts rather than mere preparedness exercises.
The analysis highlights the staggering accuracy with which these simulations predicted aspects of subsequent global health crises, raising suspicions about hidden agendas and undisclosed motives. It suggests a level of coordination and prescience that challenges conventional narratives of chance and preparedness. The text explores how these simulations, often involving institutions like the Johns Hopkins Institute and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, seem to foreshadow real-world events with remarkable precision, prompting questions about their true purpose and impact.
Today, concerns arise over scenarios hinting at possible civil unrest or civil war. The overlap between simulated exercises and actual events fuels speculation and scrutiny, fostering a debate on the influence of these predictive simulations on shaping public perception and policy responses in times of crisis, versus pre-planned and orchestrated events, serving a globalist set of agendas.
Canadian Civil War Planning:
"Disruptions on the Horizon" is a document published by Policy Horizons Canada, which is a federal government organization that explores emerging policy issues and potential future scenarios that could impact Canada. The document is part of their foresight exercises aimed at anticipating and preparing for various disruptions and changes that might affect the country in the coming years.
“The Disruptions on the Horizon 2024 report identifies and assesses 35 disruptions for which Canada may need to prepare and explores some of the interconnections between them. These disruptions are potential events and circumstances that could affect our society and the way it functions, as well as the way people live, work, and connect. Their impacts can be perceived as positive or negative, depending on one’s perspective.”
Top 10 Most Likely and Most Dangerous Disruptions:
Policy Horizons lists the following as the ten most likely disruptions: misinformation, ecosystem collapse, cost of living, billionaire leadership, reduction in living standards, overwhelmed emergency systems, mental health crises, cyberattack disables critical infrastructure, and AI out of control.
The highest impact to Canada, according to Policy Horizons would be: WW3, climate change, collapsed healthcare system, US Civil War, overwhelmed emergency systems, cyberattack disables critical infrastructure, misinformation, democratic systems breakdown, lack of natural resources.
Let’s examine this from another angle by listing the items that exist in both the most likely and most dangerous columns:
“Misinformation”
“Climate Change”
Cyberattacks
Lack of emergency services
Overall decrease in living standards
Let’s see what Policy Horizons has to say about these overlapping most likely and dangerous trends. Emphasis added is mine, to illustrate Globalist Agendas and trends.
Misinformation: “More powerful generative AI tools, declining trust in traditional knowledge sources, and algorithms designed for emotional engagement rather than factual reporting could increase distrust and social fragmentation. More people may live in separate realities shaped by their personalized media and information ecosystems.”
Climate Change: “Ecosystem collapse and the loss of biodiversity could have cascading impacts on all living things, putting basic human needs such as clean air, water, and food in jeopardy. Health and wellbeing could severely suffer as malnutrition, disease, and other health problems become more prevalent, leading to increased mortality rates, healthcare system collapse, and overall reduced quality of life. Society could become fragile as many people may be unable to meet their basic needs, let alone higher-order needs like a sense of belonging, self-esteem, and self-actualization. With a heightened sense of insecurity over a lifetime, conflicts could become violent, and people could become more vulnerable to authoritarian and anti-establishment groups or leaders.”
Cyberattacks: “Interruptions to essential services such as the Internet, electricity, transportation, water, and food supply systems are common due to regular cyberattacks, disrupting everyday life. Frequent disruptions of digital services due to cyber threats could renew demand for in-person services, and lower trust in services, technology, or government policy. Public sentiment could further shift against technology and digital services as more complex systems (such as AI) are implemented but may be poorly understood or distrusted by users.”
Emergency Response Overwhelmed: “As climate change increases the frequency and severity of natural disasters, even previously unaffected areas could be impacted. Emergency responses may be unable to keep pace. Millions of people may be displaced as weather conditions become intolerable and entire regions become uninsurable, preventing people from getting mortgages. The stress and trauma of these displacements, in addition to economic losses from collapsing real estate markets, could contribute to a worsening mental health crisis. Meanwhile, an already fragile healthcare system may crumble under surging demand.”
Reduced Living Standards: “People cannot enter the housing market and face increasingly insecure work arrangements. Many Canadians find themselves in lower socioeconomic conditions than their parents.” “Mounting environmental crises, weak economic growth, and unstable global and local value chains make it difficult for people in Canada to meet their basic human needs, such as housing, water, food, energy, healthcare, and financial security.”
They overlapping message here is one of collapsed societal standards in which the medical system is nonviable, housing is unavailable, and other basic needs like food and energy, are scarce.
Policy Horizons:
Policy Horizons Canada is an in-house think tank established in 1996 by the Government of Canada to serve as a "centre of excellence in foresight." While its primary mandate is to anticipate future challenges and opportunities for the country, its inception and funding have been subjects of scrutiny and debate.
The think tank's creation stemmed from a perceived need within the Canadian government to proactively address emerging global trends and potential disruptions. However, its early years were marked by controversy over its funding sources and alleged ties to globalist bodies and institutions. Critics have raised concerns about the influence of external agendas on its foresight reports and policy recommendations.
Policy Horizons Canada operates within the Privy Council Office, the bureaucratic arm that supports the Prime Minister and Cabinet, which has led to suspicions about its independence and neutrality. Some observers contend that its funding and guidance may come from international organizations or entities advocating for specific globalist agendas, although concrete evidence supporting these claims is often lacking.
Despite these controversies, Policy Horizons Canada has continued to produce reports and analyses aimed at preparing Canada for future challenges across various domains, including economic, social, and environmental spheres. Its role in shaping government policies based on forward-looking research remains a subject of ongoing scrutiny and debate within Canadian political and academic circles.
Director of Policy Horizons: The present director general of Policy Horizons is Kristel Van der Elst, it is therefore, important to highlight her bona fides as well as her ties to globalist institutions like the World Economic Forum.
Kristel Van der Elst had served as the Head of Strategic Foresight at Policy Horizons Canada from 2012 to 2017, she spearheaded initiatives aimed at anticipating future challenges and opportunities for Canada. Her contributions extended to the WEF, where she engaged in discussions within the Global Future Council on Future of Government, focusing on governance and policy issues at an international level. strategies.
Policy Horizons Globalist Agendas: Policy Horizons Canada engages in forward-looking projects and studies spanning diverse domains. Their exploration includes many known globalist agendas to include 15-minute cities, digital currencies and wallets, behavioral modification, message control, and mass surveillance.
Policy Horizons has examined sustainable cities, including the concept of 15-minute cities, aims to create urban environments where essential services and amenities are within a short walk or bike ride.
In the realm of biotechnological developments, Policy Horizons evaluates how advancements in biotechnology could revolutionize healthcare, agriculture, and environmental management. Their analyses delve into the ethical, social, and economic implications of these technologies, aiming to inform policy frameworks and societal responses.
Additionally, Policy Horizons examines the Internet of Things (IoT) and its potential to transform urban living through interconnected devices. Their research underscores the role of IoT in fostering data-driven smart city initiatives that improve efficiency and responsiveness to citizen needs.
The rise of digital currencies and digital wallets is another focus area, where Policy Horizons explores their impact on financial systems, monetary policies, and economic inclusivity. They analyze the infrastructure requirements and regulatory considerations necessary for integrating these technologies into mainstream financial practices.
Moreover, Policy Horizons investigates the ethical dimensions of behavioral monitoring and manipulation. This includes studying how behavioral insights and data analytics can influence public behavior, supposedly with a keen emphasis on protecting individual privacy and autonomy.
Lastly, the organization addresses concerns surrounding messaging manipulation and surveillance in digital environments. They advocate for transparency and ethical standards in the use of data and algorithms to shape public opinion and behavior, yet remain quite opaque on funding, political ties, and international ties.
[Analyst note: While warning of a future dominated by misinformation and disinformation, Policy Horizons suggests that official institutions, such as itself, may remain insulated. It does not state how they or the government would remain insulated from these changes.]
Other Civil War Plans:
Governmental think tanks often engage in scenario planning and tabletop exercises focused on civil unrest and civil war, primarily viewing these scenarios as potential threats to their own stability and continuity of power. These exercises are designed to anticipate and strategize responses to social upheaval, which could undermine governmental authority and control. The goal of these exercises is not only to maintain order but also to ensure the government's survival amidst challenges posed by internal dissent or external pressures. By simulating various scenarios of civil unrest, these think tanks aim to devise policies and strategies that prioritize the preservation of governmental power and stability, often at the expense of addressing underlying societal grievances or serving broader public interests.
RAND Corporation: has conducted various exercises, scenarios, and studies related to civil unrest and civil war, often within the broader context of national security and domestic stability. Here are a few notable examples:
"A Stability Police Force for the United States: Justification and Options for Creating U.S. Capabilities" (2009): This RAND study explored the concept of a stability police force within the United States, examining scenarios where such a force might be necessary to manage domestic civil unrest or other forms of instability. This specialized force would focus on tasks like crowd control, infrastructure protection, and collaboration with local law enforcement. Its rapid deployment capability is seen as crucial for immediate crisis stabilization. Moreover, the SPF aims to streamline interagency coordination, ensuring a unified response, and fostering international cooperation in stability operations.
[Analyst note: critics argue that such a federal force could potentially infringe upon state, county, or city rights, imposing federal laws or mandates on populations unwilling to comply, thereby raising concerns about the balance of federalism and local autonomy in governance.]
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS): has also engaged in various studies, scenarios, and discussions related to civil unrest and internal conflicts, although their focus often extends beyond domestic issues to include broader international security concerns. Here are a few examples of their work in this area:
"Securing Global Cities: Best Practices, Innovations, and the Path Ahead" (2015): This report examined security challenges in urban environments globally, including issues related to terrorism, organized crime, and civil unrest, which can have implications for domestic stability and security in the United States. Part of the Global Cities Initiative by the Brookings Institution and JPMorgan Chase, the report identifies urban security challenges such as terrorism, transnational violence, civil unrest, organized crime, and cyber threats. It emphasizes best practices gleaned from global dialogues with civic leaders, government officials, and academics, advocating for innovative approaches and technologies to bolster city resilience. The report also provides policy recommendations aimed at policymakers to strengthen security and ensure the prosperity of interconnected global cities.
[Analyst note: the players and policy recommendations all indicate strong ties to Globalism and Globalist Agenda items. CSIS's research and analysis on civil unrest and conflict often emphasize the interconnectedness of global security issues and the potential for local conflicts to have broader regional and international ramifications.]
The Atlantic Council: a think tank focused on international affairs and global security, has also contributed to discussions and analyses related to civil unrest and conflict scenarios, although their primary focus often extends beyond purely domestic issues to include international dimensions. The Atlantic Council has and does actively addresses civil unrest through initiatives, reports, and discussions focusing on crisis analysis and response. They analyze ongoing crises globally, such as in Venezuela and Ukraine, offering policy recommendations for stability. The Council conducts scenario planning and tabletop exercises to prepare for potential future unrest, exploring scenarios like Arctic tensions. Their reports emphasize governance, economic stability, and international cooperation in managing unrest. Through publications, events, and articles, they convene experts to discuss causes and consequences of civil unrest, while also examining the role of technology, including social media and cyber threats, in shaping public sentiment and stability.
The Brookings Institution: a prominent think tank in the United States, has conducted various studies, scenarios, and discussions related to civil unrest and conflict scenarios, often within the context of governance, domestic policy, and international relations. Here are several examples of their work in this area:
"The Future of Political Violence and Terrorism in the United States" (2020): This report explored trends and potential scenarios related to political violence and terrorism within the United States, including domestic factors such as polarization, extremism, and societal tensions. The report identifies a significant rise in extremist activities, particularly from right-wing groups, which they claim have been responsible for a majority of recent terrorist incidents. The report highlighted the 2020 presidential election as a potential trigger for heightened violence, depending on electoral outcomes. It also addresses diverse threats posed by anarchists, anti-fascists, and religious extremists linked to ISIS and al-Qaeda. Emphasizing the role of social media, the report discusses how extremists exploit digital platforms to spread disinformation and incite violence. To counter these challenges, the report recommends bolstering intelligence sharing, fostering community engagement, and combatting online disinformation.
[Analyst note: interestingly this report preceded some of the rhetoric and events that led up to January 6th, as well as an increase in political violence during the Covid period.]
"The Secessionist Scenario in the United States: Introduction to the Breakup of the United States" (2018): This study examined hypothetical scenarios of secession or fragmentation within the United States, discussing potential triggers and implications for governance and stability. It provides historical context by referencing past secessionist movements like the Civil War and explores how these historical events influence current discussions about secession. The report underscores the growing support for secession from both right-wing and left-wing groups due to deepening political and cultural divides. It outlines various scenarios, from peaceful negotiations to conflict-driven separations, emphasizing the legal, economic, and social complexities involved. Additionally, the report discusses the feasibility and potential consequences of secession, including economic disruptions, legal challenges, and international implications. Specific regions frequently mentioned in these discussions include California ("Calexit"), Texas, the Pacific Northwest, the South, and New England, each characterized by distinct cultural, political, and economic identities.
[Analyst note: recommendations included enhancing law enforcement and intelligence collections on the population, with increased and enhanced online monitoring, with increased legal measures geared toward “domestic terrorism.” Eventually, anyone and everyone becomes and enemy of the state, these recommendations show this intention.]
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: has engaged in various studies, scenarios, and discussions related to civil unrest, conflict, and governance challenges globally. Here ia an examples of their work in this area:
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace article, “The Rise in Political Violence in the United States and Damage to Our Democracy” authored by Dr. Rachel Kleinfeld discusses the concerning escalation of political violence in the United States and its profound impact on democratic institutions. Highlighted in the report is the disturbing trend of increased acceptance of political violence over recent years, influenced in part by assertions of election fraud by former President Trump. The author posits that the normalization of violence poses a significant threat to democratic norms and governance structures within the U.S. The article identifies election cycles as periods of heightened violence, both spontaneous and strategically orchestrated for political gain, underscoring the urgent need for proactive measures to curb such tendencies.
Carnegie's research and analysis often emphasize understanding the underlying causes of conflict, governance challenges, and the impacts of instability on global security. Their work aims to provide insights into potential scenarios and strategies for addressing these challenges, informing policymakers and the public about the complex dynamics of civil unrest and conflict.
The Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI): has conducted various studies, scenarios, and discussions related to civil unrest, conflict, and security challenges globally. Here are several examples of their work in this area:
"The Fourth Wave: Violence, Gender, Culture & HIV in the 21st Century" (2004): This study explored the intersection of violence, culture, and health, examining how societal factors, including civil unrest and conflict, can affect public health outcomes.
"Terrorism in Cyberspace: The Next Generation" (2012): While primarily focused on cybersecurity and terrorism, this report discussed how technological advancements and online platforms can be exploited by extremist groups to exacerbate civil unrest and conflict.
"Understanding the Causes of the Arab Uprisings" (2013): This analysis examined the underlying causes of the Arab Spring uprisings, including governance failures, economic disparities, and political repression, which contributed to civil unrest and conflict in the Middle East and North Africa.
"The Future of Political Violence and Terrorism in Europe" (2019): This report discussed trends and scenarios related to political violence and terrorism in Europe, including factors such as extremism, societal tensions, and governance challenges that can contribute to civil unrest.
FPRI's research and analysis often focus on understanding the root causes of conflict, the dynamics of violence and extremism, and the implications for global security. Their work aims to provide insights into potential scenarios and strategies for addressing these challenges, informing policymakers, academics, and the public about the complex dynamics of civil unrest and conflict.
SUMMARY:
Governmental think tanks engage in scenario planning and tabletop exercises centered around civil unrest and civil war, viewing these scenarios primarily as threats to their own stability and continuity of power rather than solely as challenges to societal order. These exercises aim to anticipate and strategize responses to potential social upheaval that could undermine governmental authority. The overarching goal is not only to preserve order but also to ensure the survival of government amidst internal dissent or external pressures. By simulating various civil unrest scenarios, these think tanks seek to develop policies prioritizing governmental power and stability, often neglecting to address underlying societal grievances or serve broader public interests.
RAND Corporation has explored these themes extensively, exemplified by their study "A Stability Police Force for the United States" (2009), which examined the creation of a specialized force to manage domestic civil unrest and instability. This force would focus on tasks such as crowd control and infrastructure protection, emphasizing rapid deployment and interagency coordination.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has similarly delved into civil unrest scenarios, examining urban security challenges globally in reports like "Securing Global Cities: Best Practices, Innovations, and the Path Ahead" (2015). This work underscores the interconnectivity of urban security issues and advocates for international cooperation and innovative approaches to bolster city resilience.
The Atlantic Council, focusing on international affairs, addresses civil unrest through crisis analysis and response initiatives. Their efforts include scenario planning to prepare for future unrest scenarios, emphasizing governance, economic stability, and international cooperation in managing global security challenges.
The Brookings Institution has explored domestic civil unrest in reports such as "The Future of Political Violence and Terrorism in the United States" (2020), which analyzes trends and scenarios related to political violence within the U.S. context. Their research highlights the impact of political polarization and extremism on societal stability, stressing the role of social media and online platforms in exacerbating these issues.
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace contributes insights into civil unrest and conflict, as seen in Dr. Rachel Kleinfeld's article on "The Rise in Political Violence in the United States and Damage to Our Democracy." This piece examines the normalization of political violence and its detrimental effects on democratic norms and governance structures.
Overall, these think tanks play a critical role in shaping policy responses to civil unrest, focusing on maintaining governmental authority and stability while navigating complex global security challenges and societal dynamics. They may also hint at a more nefarious purpose, simulating and discussing ideas for future planned scenarios to instigate societal unrest and thereby create an environment in which populations demand stronger government and willingly give up their civil liberties.
Civil Unrest Tabletop Exercises:
The United States, like many nations, conducts tabletop exercises to simulate responses to potential crises such as civil unrest and civil disturbances. These exercises, organized by federal agencies like FEMA and DHS, as well as by think tanks and law enforcement agencies, aim to enhance preparedness and coordination among stakeholders. From managing pandemics like Crimson Contagion to addressing economic collapse scenarios in exercises like Atlantic Storm, these simulations test response strategies, recommend courses of action, and highlight considerations regarding civil rights and constitutional protections. Each exercise underscores the importance of balancing security imperatives with safeguarding individual liberties, ensuring effective crisis management while upholding democratic principles. But, are these just flowery words to placate an ignorant population? Have tabletop scenarios presaged real-world events? We already know the answer to this, it is a resounding yes.
Below are some examples of table-top exercises and their real-world counterpart:
Crimson Contagion (2019):
Key Points: Crimson Contagion was a nationwide exercise conducted by the U.S. federal government to simulate a severe influenza pandemic spreading across the country. The exercise involved federal agencies, states, and private sector partners to test response capabilities, including managing civil unrest that could arise from widespread disease outbreaks.
Recommended Courses of Action: The exercise highlighted the importance of early detection, rapid response, and coordination between federal, state, and local authorities in managing public health emergencies. It emphasized the need for clear communication with the public, healthcare system preparedness, and measures to mitigate social and economic impacts.
Civil Rights Considerations: During public health emergencies, authorities may implement measures such as quarantine, travel restrictions, and curfews to contain the spread of disease. These measures can temporarily restrict individual freedoms and movement but are subject to legal and constitutional scrutiny to ensure they are necessary, proportionate, and nondiscriminatory.
Real-world: Covid-19, and possibly Bird Flu (Avian Influenza).
Atlantic Storm (numerous iterations):
Key Points: Atlantic Storm is a tabletop exercise organized by the Atlantic Council, focusing on transatlantic responses to crisis scenarios. It has simulated complex security challenges such as economic collapse, social unrest, and civil disturbances across multiple countries.
Recommended Courses of Action: The exercise emphasizes international cooperation and coordination among governments, international organizations, and private sector stakeholders. It recommends developing contingency plans, enhancing crisis communication strategies, and strengthening diplomatic efforts to manage geopolitical tensions and stabilize affected regions.
Civil Rights Considerations: In scenarios involving economic collapse or social unrest, governments may face pressure to maintain public order through measures that could impact civil liberties. Balancing security needs with individual rights is crucial, ensuring that emergency measures comply with legal standards and respect constitutional protections.
Real world: During the COVID-19 pandemic, numerous issues highlighted during Atlantic Storm became apparent. These included the implementation and call for international cooperation, the criticality of situational awareness, and the difficulties in managing limited medical resources. Despite COVID-19 being a natural pandemic rather than a deliberate bioterrorist act, the exercise overlapped with COVID-19 response protocols.
Below are table-top exercises or scenarios that could hold predictive value for a future civil unrest event:
National Level Exercise (NLE) (Conducted Periodically):
Key Points: NLEs are comprehensive exercises designed to test the nation's preparedness and response capabilities for various crises, including terrorist attacks, natural disasters, and civil disturbances. While not exclusively focused on civil unrest, these exercises include components related to managing social unrest and public safety.
Recommended Courses of Action: The exercises stress the importance of interagency coordination, community resilience building, and public-private partnerships. They recommend enhancing emergency response plans, conducting realistic scenario-based training, and improving communication strategies to ensure effective crisis management.
Civil Rights Considerations: During NLEs, as in real emergencies, authorities may implement emergency measures such as curfews, evacuation orders, and deployment of National Guard troops. Safeguarding civil rights requires adherence to legal standards, oversight by courts and legislators, and transparent communication with affected communities.
Urban Shield (Annually):
Key Points: Urban Shield simulates responses to complex emergency scenarios in urban environments, including terrorism, mass protests, and civil unrest. It involves multiple agencies and jurisdictions working together to enhance coordination and readiness.
Recommended Courses of Action: The exercise promotes cross-agency collaboration, tactical training, and integration of law enforcement with other emergency responders. It emphasizes the importance of preparedness drills, scenario-based training, and continuous improvement of response protocols.
Civil Rights Considerations: Exercises like Urban Shield involve scenarios that may require law enforcement to manage large-scale protests or civil disturbances. Balancing public safety with protection of First Amendment rights (such as freedom of assembly and speech) is critical, ensuring that law enforcement tactics respect constitutional rights and minimize the risk of escalation.
Joint Civil-Military Operations Task Force Exercise (JTFEX):
Key Points: JTFEX simulates joint civil-military operations in response to complex crises, including scenarios involving civil unrest or conflict. It tests military readiness and interoperability with civilian authorities and international partners.
Recommended Courses of Action: The exercise focuses on integrating military capabilities with civilian responses, enhancing command and control structures, and improving interagency communication. It highlights the importance of mutual aid agreements, logistical support, and humanitarian assistance to support affected populations.
Civil Rights Considerations: In scenarios involving military deployment for domestic security, concerns may arise regarding Posse Comitatus Act restrictions and the need to uphold civilian control over the military. Preserving constitutional rights, including protections against unlawful search and seizure, is essential during civil-military operations to maintain public trust and legal integrity.
SUMMARY:
The tabletop exercises and scenarios conducted at both national and local levels, such as Urban Shield and Joint Civil-Military Operations Task Force Exercises (JTFEX), highlight a recurring theme of prioritizing governmental control and expanding powers over safeguarding civil liberties. These exercises stress the need for enhanced emergency response capabilities, often involving the deployment of military and police forces in managing crises like civil unrest or terrorism. They emphasize interagency coordination and integration of military assets with civilian authorities, aiming to bolster command structures and logistical support. However, this trend raises concerns about potential infringements on civil liberties, including increased surveillance and the imposition of emergency measures that may restrict constitutional rights such as freedom of assembly and privacy. Despite efforts to balance public safety with civil liberties, the exercises reflect a broader trajectory towards empowering government agencies during emergencies, potentially at the expense of individual freedoms and democratic norms.
Insurance Clauses:
Insurance companies, particularly those offering commercial property and business interruption policies, have started to add specific clauses related to civil unrest and civil war in response to increasing incidents of social unrest and political instability. These clauses are reportedly designed to clarify coverage or exclusions related to damages caused by civil disturbances and conflicts. Here are a few key points regarding insurance coverage for civil unrest and civil war:
Business Interruption Insurance: Many business interruption policies now include provisions that explicitly cover losses resulting from civil unrest or civil war. These clauses may specify whether coverage applies to physical damage to the insured property, such as vandalism or arson, or if it extends to business interruptions caused by government-imposed curfews or closures due to civil disturbances.
Property Insurance: Property insurance policies may also include clauses addressing damage caused by civil unrest or civil war. These clauses typically outline the extent of coverage for property damage, such as repairs to buildings and contents, resulting from riots, strikes, and other forms of civil disturbance.
Exclusions and Limitations: Insurance policies often include exclusions or limitations related to civil unrest and civil war. For example, coverage may be restricted if the insured property is located in an area known for frequent civil disturbances, or if the policyholder fails to meet certain security requirements specified by the insurer.
Coverage Enhancements: In response to heightened risks, some insurers offer optional coverage enhancements specifically tailored to protect businesses against losses caused by civil unrest and related events. These enhancements may include increased limits of liability, coverage for additional expenses incurred during disruptions, or specialized risk assessment and mitigation services.
Policy Review and Updates: Given the evolving nature of risks associated with civil unrest and civil war, insurance companies periodically review and update their policy language to reflect current conditions and emerging threats. Policyholders are encouraged to review their insurance coverage regularly and consult with their insurance advisors to ensure adequate protection against these risks.
Overall, the inclusion of civil unrest and civil war clauses in insurance policies reflects insurers' efforts to address emerging risks and provide clarity regarding coverage for damages and disruptions resulting from social and political instability. This could simply be a symptom of recent civil unrest damages and the financial challenges insurance companies are facing, or this could be another line of evidence for a future planned event. Several major insurance companies have created exclusions for “Climate Change” related events, or simply pulled out of states like California and Texas, before major events like the Texas fire or Hurricane Beryl, it begs the question, was this simply coincidence - as this bucks a long-term trend of insurance companies insuring people in largely populated states.
Legal Changes:
In the United States, the legal framework surrounding civil unrest, civil war scenarios, and emergency powers primarily involves federal and state laws, as well as constitutional protections. Here are some key aspects:
Federal Emergency Powers: The President of the United States has authority under the National Emergencies Act (1976) to declare a national emergency, which can grant extensive powers to the federal government. These powers include the ability to deploy military forces domestically, control and regulate commerce, and allocate resources to respond to the emergency situation. For example, in response to civil unrest or natural disasters, presidents have historically invoked emergency powers to mobilize federal resources and coordinate disaster relief efforts.
Insurrection Act of 1807: The Insurrection Act provides statutory authority for the President to use federal military forces to suppress domestic insurrections, rebellions, or uprisings. This law has been invoked in the past to address situations of civil unrest, such as during the civil rights era in the 1960s. It allows the President to deploy federal troops in states where local authorities are unable or unwilling to control the situation.
State Emergency Powers: Each state in the U.S. has its own laws governing emergency powers and responses to civil unrest. Governors can declare states of emergency under state laws, which empower them to mobilize state resources, activate the National Guard, enforce curfews, and take other measures necessary to protect public safety and maintain order. For example, during protests or riots, governors may deploy National Guard troops to assist law enforcement in restoring order and protecting public property.
Suspension of Habeas Corpus: The U.S. Constitution (Article I, Section 9) allows for the suspension of habeas corpus "when in cases of rebellion or invasion the public safety may require it." This provision gives Congress the authority to suspend the right of individuals to challenge their detention in court during times of rebellion or invasion. However, such suspensions are rare and subject to rigorous scrutiny by the judiciary to ensure they are justified and limited in scope.
Internment and Detention: The legal framework for internment and detention of individuals during civil unrest or national emergencies is primarily governed by constitutional rights, including the Fourth and Fifth Amendments, which protect against unlawful detention and guarantee due process. The federal government and states have laws regulating detention facilities and procedures to ensure that individuals' rights are respected, even in emergency situations.
Legal Challenges and Judicial Review: Any emergency measures, including those related to civil unrest or civil war scenarios, are subject to judicial review to determine their constitutionality and legality. Courts play a crucial role in safeguarding individual rights and ensuring that government actions comply with constitutional principles, even during emergencies.
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
Insurrection Act: Under this act, the President can deploy military forces domestically to suppress civil disorder, insurrection, and rebellion. This power grants the federal government authority to intervene in situations where local authorities may be overwhelmed or unable to control unrest.
National Emergencies Act: This legislation empowers the President to declare a national emergency, activating a wide range of statutory powers. These powers can include the allocation of federal funds, the implementation of special measures to protect public health, safety, and welfare, and the use of military personnel and equipment for emergency response.
Stafford Act: Enacted primarily for disaster response, the Stafford Act allows the President to provide federal assistance to states during major disasters or emergencies, including instances of civil unrest. This can involve financial aid, logistical support, and coordination of federal resources to aid local and state efforts.
Patriot Act: While primarily focused on combating terrorism, the Patriot Act also enhances the government’s surveillance and investigative powers. These powers can be used to monitor and respond to threats of domestic terrorism or civil unrest that pose a risk to national security.
STATE GOVERNMENTS
State Emergency Powers: Governors have the authority to declare a state of emergency, activating state resources and personnel, including National Guard units. This declaration empowers states to swiftly mobilize assistance, enforce emergency regulations, and coordinate responses to civil disturbances.
Curfews and Restrictions: During periods of unrest, governors and local authorities can impose curfews, restrict movement, and limit public gatherings. These measures are intended to control the spread of unrest and maintain public safety by reducing the likelihood of violence or property damage.
Martial Law: In extreme cases, states can invoke martial law, which temporarily suspends ordinary law and places civilian functions under military control. Martial law is typically employed when civil authorities are unable to maintain order and protect public safety through normal means.
While these emergency measures are crucial for managing crises and safeguarding public welfare, they raise significant concerns about civil liberties. The use of military forces in domestic law enforcement, surveillance activities under the Patriot Act, and restrictions on freedom of movement and assembly during curfews can infringe upon constitutional rights. Balancing the necessity of these measures with the protection of civil liberties remains a critical challenge during times of social upheaval and emergency response.
LEGISLATIVE ACTIONS:
Legislative bills and proposals offer insights into governmental preparations for potential civil unrest. Examples include the S.3589 - Domestic Terrorism Prevention Act of 2020, which enhances federal capabilities to counter domestic terrorism and monitor threats linked to civil unrest. Additionally, in 2021, Republican lawmakers in 34 states introduced over 80 anti-protest bills aimed at increasing penalties for protest-related activities, seen as measures to manage civil unrest. The International Association of Fire Chiefs (IAFC) has developed resources for fire departments to prepare for civil unrest, focusing on crowd management and infrastructure protection. FEMA has also emphasized the importance of guidance, training, and equipment for responding to civil unrest. These efforts underscore a systemic readiness approach to maintaining public order and safety amidst potential unrest.
Here are summaries of recent legislative actions across several states:
Florida’s Anti-Riot Law (HB 1): Passed in 2021, this law increases penalties for crimes committed during riots and grants civil immunity to drivers who pass through protesters blocking roads. It also permits authorities to detain arrested protesters until their first court appearance.
Tennessee’s Enhanced Penalties for Protest-Related Offenses (HB 8005): Enacted in 2020, this legislation heightens penalties for specific protest-related offenses like vandalism and assaults on first responders. It also classifies camping on state property as a felony.
Georgia’s SB 171: Proposed in 2021, this bill aims to escalate penalties for actions such as blocking highways and defacing public property during protests. It additionally includes measures to safeguard police budgets from reductions.
Ohio’s SB 16: Enacted in 2022, this law toughens penalties for offenses against law enforcement during protests and provides civil immunity to officers for actions taken in riots.
Arizona’s SB 1009: Passed in 2022, this law limits the duration of gubernatorial states of emergency to 30 days, unless extended by the legislature, ensuring legislative oversight of emergency declarations.
Summary:
This article outlines a complex landscape of converging narratives suggesting a potential transformative period marked by societal upheaval and conflict. It highlights several key themes:
Fourth Turning and Civilizational Shifts: The era may be entering a Fourth Turning, a cyclical period of societal upheaval, coinciding with the end of a long-term debt cycle and potentially a 250-year epoch. This aligns with cosmic phenomena and historical patterns linked to significant societal changes.
Media and Government Preparations: Mainstream media and government documents indicate preparation for potential civil unrest and societal fracture, reflecting legislative adjustments and insurance policy adaptations. These actions underscore a systemic readiness for significant discord, potentially leading to civil war scenarios.
Global Trends in Civil Unrest: Similar trends of civil unrest preparations are observed globally, from Europe to South America, suggesting a coordinated informational operation campaign aligning with the Fourth Turning framework.
Pandemic Tabletop Exercises: Recent pandemic simulations like Event 201 and SPARS 2025 have raised concerns about their predictive nature and potential alignment with broader societal disruptions, prompting questions about hidden agendas and coordinated efforts.
Canadian and Global Civil War Preparations: Documents like Canada's "Disruptions on the Horizon" highlight preparations for disruptions such as a potential U.S. civil war, reflecting broader globalist agendas and strategic foresight exercises by various institutions.
Legal and Security Frameworks: The legal framework in the U.S. surrounding civil unrest and civil war scenarios includes federal emergency powers, the Insurrection Act, and state emergency powers, emphasizing the balance between maintaining public order and upholding constitutional protections.
Overall, the summary suggests a complex interplay of historical cycles, media influence, governmental preparations, and global trends pointing towards a period of significant societal challenges and potential conflict, echoing historical patterns and current geopolitical realities.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the convergence of multiple narratives and tangible preparations for civil unrest suggests a meticulously planned future event rather than a mere reaction to circumstances. The current socio-political landscape is shaped by strategic exercises, policy adaptations, and legislative adjustments aimed at anticipating and managing potential societal fractures. From tabletop simulations and policy papers to insurance clauses and legal changes, these preparations underscore a systemic readiness for significant upheaval.
The concept of a Fourth Turning, intertwined with cyclical debt cycles and cosmic alignments, hints at an impending era of societal transformation. Mainstream media's predictive programming and governmental foresight documents like Canada's "Disruptions on the Horizon" further reinforce the thesis of a planned societal discord. The global scope of these preparations, observed across diverse regions and institutions, points towards a coordinated effort underpinning globalist agendas.
In essence, the groundwork laid through simulations, policy adaptations, and legal frameworks suggests that the specter of civil unrest is not merely a possibility but a probable outcome of calculated planning. This foresight, manifesting through both overt and covert measures, raises critical questions about the motives driving such preparations and the implications for global stability and governance. As these narratives converge, the prospect of navigating a transformative period defined by societal fracture looms large, challenging conventional notions of crisis management and governance in the years ahead.
Predictive Analysis:
As an intelligence analyst, predicting social unrest involves analyzing economic stressors like high unemployment and inequality, political instability from controversial elections or corruption, and social tensions fueled by discrimination. Media coverage intensifies public sentiment, while unjust laws and global crises such as pandemics worsen domestic issues. Economic downturns, contentious political cycles, and major legislative changes are key periods when social unrest is likely to emerge. It further requires understanding Information Operations, periodicity of such programs, as well as maintaining awareness of recent legislative proposals and those timelines, coupled with think tank table-top exercises to better refine timelines.
In addition, the George Floyd riots of 2020 appear to have been strategically orchestrated to achieve multiple objectives. Beyond catalyzing the "defund the police" movement and advocating for reductions in police departments, these events set the stage for increased crime rates, heightened social division, and widespread social unrest. Furthermore, the riots provided a pretext for numerous states to introduce and enact legislation that enables more severe responses and measures in the face of any future civil unrest, whether planned or spontaneous. These legislative actions include escalating penalties for riot-related offenses, granting civil immunity to individuals confronting protesters, and instituting stricter controls over public demonstrations. By exploiting the volatile aftermath of the George Floyd incident, proponents of these measures sought to reshape law enforcement policies and enhance state authority in managing and suppressing civil disturbances.
Considering these factors: high inflation, social division, anxiety, blatant corruption, mass migration, high crime, new and pending legislation, and an upcoming presidential election; it is easy to see that populations are primed and ripe for social unrest. The conditions are met, as this is a period of heightened risk. Taking these factors into consideration and applying more weight to the last metric, allows one to possibly narrow the timeline for social unrest in the United States.
Mass social unrest could occur around the 2024 presidential election cycle, particularly in the months leading up to and immediately following the election. This period is likely to be marked by economic uncertainties, intense political debates, and potential legislative changes.
Look for claims of Russian involvement in the election, election fraud, and illegal immigrants voting in the election. Look for claims of AI interference and Big Tech interference (the latter occurring in alternative spaces). Expect a delay in reporting who won the election. Look for a possible suspension of voting in key areas. Look for pending and new legislation regarding civil unrest. Look for a much stronger response than during the George Floyd riots.
It is my contention that civil unrest will initially be allowed to increase with wide coverage and a limited response. This may allow a newly elected president to step in with a harsher response, as the population at that time will be primed and ready for governmental intervention.
Do not dismiss the effects of increased kinetic activity in the Russia-NATO theater, Middle East, and kicking off in Asia as catalysts for emergency measures within the US, or at the least as influencing factors upon the election as well.
REFERENCES & FURTHER READING:
https://horizons.service.canada.ca/en/2024/disruptions/index.shtml
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insurrection_Act_of_1807
https://www.history.com/news/insurrection-act-thomas-jefferson-aaron-burr
https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/insurrection-act-explained
https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/posse-comitatus-act-explained
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/subtitle-A/part-I/chapter-13
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory
https://www.amazon.com/Fourth-Turning-American-Prophecy-Rendezvous/dp/0767900464
https://www.asisonline.org/security-management-magazine/latest-news/online-exclusives/2021/protest-preparedness-analyzing-crowd-dynamics-threat-actors-and-intelligence/
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/549495-34-states-considering-anti-protest-bills-introduced-by-republicans/
https://www.iafc.org/blogs/blog/iafc/2021/04/20/iafc-resources-for-preparing-for-civil-unrest
https://apps.usfa.fema.gov/pdf/efop/efo248668.pdf
https://citizenwatchreport.com/canadian-home-insurance-policies-introduce-exclusions-for-war-and-civil-unrest/
https://insurance-clauses.blogspot.com/2009/05/war-civil-war-exclusion-clause.html
https://www.reuters.com/legal/legalindustry/riots-commotion-insurrection-what-does-insurance-cover-when-society-wreaks-havoc-2022-10-13/
https://insurancenewsnet.com/innarticle/insurance-polices-adding-insurrection-riots-as-exclusions
Headlines:
https://truthout.org/articles/what-does-dystopian-film-civil-war-say-about-the-current-reality-in-the-us/
https://apnews.com/article/abigail-civil-war-box-office-d8fe8822fdb08c5f4da19d51f1e2bda0
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/12/spain-publishes-list-of-art-seized-during-civil-war
https://www.news10.com/news/national/poll-47-of-americans-think-a-civil-war-is-likely/
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/02/could-united-states-be-headed-national-divorce
https://www.wired.com/story/russia-disinformation-campaign-civil-war-texas-border/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68185317
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/aug/25/sarah-palin-us-civil-war-donald-trump-prosecutions
https://www.denofgeek.com/movies/how-america-in-civil-war-might-happen/
https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2023/7/23/an-israeli-civil-war
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2023/06/russia-civil-war-wagner-putin-coup/674517/
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/aug/29/us-civil-war-fears-poll
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/17/world/asia/new-caledonia-france-protest.html
https://www.nysun.com/article/press-review-italians-rally-behind-a-dancing-giorgia-meloni-as-france-waltzes-toward-civil-war
https://visegradpost.com/en/2023/11/24/polish-style-territorial-defense-could-be-the-answer-to-the-rising-chaos-and-risk-of-civil-war-in-france/
https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-lurches-into-civil-war-over-combustion-engine-ban/
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/maga-civil-war-reaches-climax-in-bob-good-primary/ar-BB1ooHTk
https://www.newsday.com/long-island/juneteenth-civil-war-david-chippie-jyjq48pz
https://www.yahoo.com/news/wwii-veteran-only-living-son-194819833.html
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/travel/news/english-civil-war-comes-to-ripley/ar-BB1ow6ad
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/fact-check-reports-say-canada-preparing-for-2nd-us-civil-war-heres-what-we-know/ar-BB1oow5L
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/europe-s-new-terrorist-group-after-warning-issued-sweden-is-on-brink-of-civil-war/ar-BB1ogurT
Crimson Contagion: https://www.governmentattic.org/38docs/HHSaarCrimsonContAAR_2020.pdf
Catastrophic Contagion: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2022/10/18/national-security-memorandum-on-countering-biological-threats-enhancing-pandemic-preparedness-and-achieving-global-health-security/
Event 201: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/pandemic-data-initiative/news/2021-pandemic-data-year-in-review
SPARS 2025-1n: https://centerforhealthsecurity.org/sites/default/files/2022-12/spars-pandemic-scenario.pdf
Dark Winter: https://centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/tabletop-exercises/dark-winter-a-training-tabletop-exercise
Operation Lockstep: https://sociable.co/web/israel-cyber-pandemic-exercise-simulating-cyberattack-global-financial-system/
Atlantic Storm: https://nps.edu/documents/106185685/108544842/AT_Level_I_CONUS.pdf/4ebdf928-3959-76d1-c1b8-56c0ca469660?t=1591728339335
Cyber Pandemic: https://www.wbaltv.com/article/johns-hopkins-cyberattack-data-breach-information/44203251
Exercise Cygnus: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exercise_Cygnus
Operation Resolute Response: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/03/05/fact-sheet-the-u-s-response-to-ebola-outbreaks-in-west-and-east-africa/
Clade X 2020: https://centerforhealthsecurity.org/sites/default/files/2022-12/clade-x-executive-summary-document.pdf
Crimson Contagion: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimson_Contagion
Operation Mockingbird:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Mockingbird
https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/document/02353962
https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/hearings/ciasuseofjournal00unit.pdf
https://www.fordlibrarymuseum.gov/library/document/0180/75573204.pdf
Policy Horizons:
https://horizons.service.canada.ca/
https://horizons.service.canada.ca/en/about-us/index.shtml
https://nationalpost.com/opinion/federal-report-nightmare-scenarios
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/next-disruptions-on-the-horizon-1.7207915
https://www.canada.ca/en/employment-social-development/news/2019/06/policy-horizons-canada-releasesthe-future-of-work-and-the-next-digital-economy-reports.html
https://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2021/hpc-phc/PH4-188-2021-eng.pdf
https://horizons.service.canada.ca/en/2024/disruptions/index.shtml
https://horizons.service.canada.ca/en/2020/03/20/exploring-social-futures/index.shtml
https://horizons.service.canada.ca/en/our-work/index.shtml
https://www.conservapedia.com/Policy_Horizons
https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/4/1369
https://searchworks.stanford.edu/view/14595787
https://www.sketchy-city.com/post/15-minute-cities-aligning-policy-with-the-future-of-american-living
https://doi.org/10.3390/s22041369
National Level Exercise:
https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/national-preparedness/exercises/national-level-exercise
https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/planning-exercises/nle/2024
https://preptoolkit.fema.gov/web/nle-2024
RAND:
https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2009/RAND_MG819.pdf
https://direct.mit.edu/ajle/article/doi/10.1162/ajle_a_00036/112637/POLICE-REFORM-IN-DIVIDED-TIMES
https://doi.org/10.1162/ajle_a_00036
CSIS:
https://internationalpolicybrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/ARTICLE5-196.pdf
https://www.brookings.edu/events/securing-global-cities/
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/securing-global-cities-2/
https://www.csis.org/analysis/pushed-extremes-domestic-terrorism-amid-polarization-and-protest
https://www.csis.org/analysis/escalating-terrorism-problem-united-states
https://www.csis.org/analysis/war-comes-home-evolution-domestic-terrorism-united-states
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/ajps.12692
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secession_in_the_United_States
https://ndpr.nd.edu/reviews/splitsville-usa-a-democratic-argument-for-breaking-up-the-united-states/
https://pulitzercenter.org/stories/modern-americas-most-successful-secessionist-movement
https://www.csis.org/analysis/war-comes-home-evolution-domestic-terrorism-united-states
https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/the-rise-of-political-violence-in-the-united-states/
Carnegie Endowment:
https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/03/10/political-violence-and-our-democratic-future-event-7832
Atlantic Security Council:
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/unrest-in-ukraine-escalates/