2025 Predictions and Trends Analysis - What to Expect
Post 129
"We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten."
— Bill Gates (1999)
BLUF: The following year, 2025, will likely be defined by division, an attempted ‘pandemic,’ civil unrest, populism and deportations, mass layoffs - leading to automation, and a huge push toward (quantum) AI - among many other smaller events.
Introduction: The Challenges of Predictive Analysis
Predicting the future has always intrigued humanity, but it's an endeavor fraught with uncertainty and complexity. Famous figures like Nostradamus, Edgar Cayce, and Baba Vanga are often revered for their purported prophetic abilities. Yet, despite their enduring fame, the accuracy of their predictions is widely disputed. Historical analysis shows that their success rates are typically quite low—often under 10%. Nostradamus’ cryptic quatrains are often interpreted in countless ways, leaving his so-called "accurate" predictions open to subjective interpretation. Similarly, Edgar Cayce, while respected for his health insights, made many failed predictions about global events, such as his forecast of a pole shift in 1958. Baba Vanga's most famous predictions, like those surrounding 9/11, have been shown to be either vague or fabricated after the events occurred. Despite their cultural impact, these figures demonstrate the pitfalls of relying on vague or mystical predictions, highlighting how difficult it is to foresee future events with certainty.
The challenge of predicting the future lies in the complexity of the forces that shape our world. Our reality is influenced by countless variables—economic systems, technological innovations, geopolitical dynamics, and human behavior—which are inherently unpredictable. Unlike the mystical predictions of past prophets, TSJ Substack takes a more grounded approach: rather than attempting to foresee the future, I focus on analyzing the trends and signals already present in our world. By studying white papers, think tank reports, tabletop exercises, and the actions of political and philanthropic leaders, I attempt to read the "tea leaves" of global developments. This method doesn’t rely on prophecy but on examining the linguistic markers of current information operations and global trends to understand the trajectories that may shape the future - as much of it appears scripted.
This channel’s predictive track record further validates this method. In 2024, TSJ Substack made over 100 predictions, achieving an impressive 91% accuracy rate. This high level of precision stems from my commitment to ongoing trend analysis, not guesswork. For example, the predictions for the months of October, November, and December 2024 were accurate 72%, 76%, and 89% of the time, respectively, leading to a cumulative accuracy rate of 79% for the final quarter of the year. When factoring in the overall 2024 predictions, this figure jumps to 82%, reflecting the strength of this analytical approach. This consistent accuracy underscores the power of evidence-based trend analysis over the mysticism of traditional prophecy, showing how careful observation of current events, understanding underlying predicates, and knowing how to decipher Information Operations, can provide valuable insights into the future. And because this method requires extensive reading, research, and puzzle-piecing, and because it has the potential to yield a savvy investor some decent financial gains, part of this post will be hidden behind a paywall.
The below trend/predictive analysis sections are divided thusly: Global Health and a ‘Pandemic,’ Finance, Economics and Banking, Politics and War, Technology and AI, and Miscellaneous.
Global Health and a ‘Pandemic:’
One of the key defining features of 2025 will likely be another attempted ‘pandemic.’ In 2025, the global health landscape will be significantly shaped by the resurgence of infectious diseases, particularly a new, more deadly strain of bird flu (H1N5 later evolving into different variants, possibly H3N3, or H7N9), which will affect both animals and humans.
Governments will implement more localized and stringent quarantine measures, targeting backyard farms, poultry flocks, and even pets as potential reservoirs of the virus. These measures, including the culling of animals, will severely disrupt food production, leading to higher prices for meat, poultry, dairy, and eggs. The bird flu pandemic could potentially lead to further lockdowns, regional restrictions, and heightened surveillance, creating a tense atmosphere around public health and civil liberties.
The role of the private sector in enforcing health measures will also increase, with industries and local governments using digital IDs and surveillance technologies to track and manage disease outbreaks. Public health authorities may fast-track novel vaccines (saRNA) already under development, for new variants, while countries with historically low vaccination rates in regions like Africa might become central to the global vaccination focus. However, the economic fallout from these health policies—such as rising food prices and disrupted supply chains—could exacerbate social unrest in various regions, particularly in Europe where rising utility costs and civil unrest are expected.
Ultimately, like any major event, it is simply a catalyst for change. In the Problem - Reaction - Solution model, ‘Bird Flu’ would be the problem, a massive IO Campaign coupled with hospital death protocols, etc would help generate a reaction, and the solutions (already pre-planned) would be ushered in - these largely remain the same irrespective of the catalyst: digital IDs, digital wallets, collapse of banking, social credit systems, expanded surveillance, all overseen by AI.
Below are trends and predictions in this sphere:
Bird Flu: It is likely that a Bird Flu ‘outbreak,’ with human to human ‘transmission,’ will be announced in January/February. It is possible Bird Flu will be labeled Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) in the first quarter of 2025.
Pandemic: There is a greater than roughly even chance that 2025 will be the year of another attempted pandemic. If a pandemic is announced, it would likely be directly tied to some mutation with Bird Flu.
New Strains: Expect new strains to be announced that have mutated either in a human or animal host, that have allowed the virus to ‘evolve’ into a more perfect infection vehicle, allowing for human to human transfer - very likely.
Messaging: It is likely, in the event of an attempted ‘pandemic’ that AI and bots will play a huge role in managing the message (this would take several shapes: writing articles, responding to posts/articles/social media content, generating scary imagery and short videos, sweeping Internet for counter-narrative information.)
Controlled Narrative: In the event of an attempted ‘pandemic,’ a cohesive Information Operation would target echo chambers, differing from Covid-19 (which mostly had a cohesive message), this go around will amplify the divide in terms of masking, certain restrictions, and vaccination.
Tale of Two Origins: In the event of an attempted ‘pandemic,’ it is likely that there would be a MSM narrative promoting the natural mutations and origins of the ‘virus.’ Alternative spaces would talk of possible lab manipulation or bio-weapon leak. Both would converge on the idea it is a real virus and spreading and harmful.
Food Disruptions: It is likely that 2025 will see a significant hit to the meat, dairy, poultry and egg prices rise due to animal culling and supply chain disruptions.
Pets as Reservoir of Disease: It is very likely that there will be a much greater focus (compared to Covid), of pets (cats specifically, but eventually dogs too), as a major reservoir for disease. It is likely that certain cities, states/provinces, and even countries, will target pets for quarantine and eradication.
Vaccines: It is likely that the narrative surrounding vaccines will be different than in 2020/2021, insofar as that instead of an Operation Warp Speed, aspects of the messaging (mostly in MSM), will focus on how Bird Flu vaccines have received more time and research than Covid vaccines. Aspects of alternative media will, toward the latter half of 2025 discuss saRNA vaccines and the concept of mass shedding.
Vaccine Mandates: If there were a global declaration of a ‘pandemic,’ mandates would be more of a regional affair this go around. In the US, it is unlikely the Federal Government would force employees to be mandated to receive the vaccines. Cities, states, and private companies would more likely be the entities responsible for enforcing and pushing mandates.
Key Voices: There will be Doctors who spoke out against the mRNA ‘vaccines’ who will advocate for saRNA (probably) ‘vaccines’ due to the ‘seriousness’ of the Bird Flu ‘pandemic.’ E.g. Dr. Peter McCullough.
saRNA Vaccines: It is likely a new technology will be pushed for the next ‘pandemic,’ saRNA (self-amplify RNA). It is likely there will be a greater fear/concern, covered mostly in alternative media spaces, of increased shedding from this technology.
Children, Respiratory Distress and Encephalitis: If there is another ‘pandemic,’ it is likely that there would be a much greater focus on children, specifically as carriers, vectors, and disproportionately impacted/affected. There is a greater than roughly even chance that many of these children will have dramatic symptoms of respiratory distress. Thirdly, there is a greater than roughly even chance that encephalitis may become one of the symptoms to watch for (this could be for a new ‘variant’ after vaccine rollout - so, by end of 2025 into 2026.)
Lack of Criticism: It is likely that many who were critical of the Covid-19 response will not be so critical of a Trump-led ‘Bird Flu’ response.
Africa in Focus: Africa, specifically sub-Saharan Africa would likely be a focus of mass vaccination campaigns, funding, and global vaccination efforts.
Pandemic Treaty: There is a greater than roughly even chance that the WHO will pass their Pandemic Treaty in the second or third quarter of 2025.
Public Health Surveillance: Increased use of digital IDs for health tracking and disease management.
Wastewater Detection: PCR testing of municipal wastewater, will very likely be a critical component of ‘detection’ of any viral outbreak. It is likely the outcomes of these tests will be tied to restrictive measures on lifting of restrictive measures.
Lockdowns: In the event of another ‘pandemic,’ it is likely that rather than a Codiv-style global lockdown, there would be regional restrictions (countries closing borders, states/provinces, but even more commonly, cities).
Mortality Rate: It is likely the rhetoric regarding the mortality rate will initially be very high, significantly higher than that for Covid-19. It is also likely that these figures will be exaggerated.
Register that Flock: It is likely that some cities, states/provinces, and countries will require backyard flocks to be registered. This will likely expand to include other small homesteads to be registered, tested, and for some to be quarantined with their animals culled. Look for the USDA (and to a lesser extent the FDA) to play a key role in this regard in the US.
Private Industry Enforcement: It is likely that a key aspect of masking, social distancing, vaccine enforcement will be done by private multi-national companies. E.g. moves toward contactless and cashless transactions to ‘protect’ the public and their employees. The need for digital IDs and digital vaccination status, to ‘prove identity and protect.’
SPECULATION:
Anti-Vax vs Pro-Vax: Part of the divisive narrative will be a pro-vaccine versus anti-vaccine set of narratives. This divide will drive some toward vaccines and some away from them. This will be done on purpose.
RFK and Vaccines: At one point (possibly 2026), RFK Jr. would change his stance on key ‘vaccines,’ probably saRNA, in light of “the science,” and key “evidence,” combined with the severity/magnitude of the Bird Flu issue.
Backdrop - Multi-National Businesses Dominate: The combined effects of tariffs and trade wars, regional conflict, supply chain disruptions due to regional lockdowns, disruptions from mass deportation efforts, and a possible port strike (relatively short-lived), many small and medium sized business would close, leaving retail giants like Walmart, Amazon, Costco to dominate and thereby enforce contactless payment systems, Digital IDs and even ‘Pandemic'-related requirements like contact tracing or digital proof of ‘vaccination.’
